Pure relegation battle: Is Cologne moving closer to Hamburg?


After 18 matchdays, 1 FC Köln has nine points on its account. That is actually too little to be able to plan for the coming year in a first-class manner. From the point of view of the Cologne team, however, it is very pleasing that a few other clubs are also really struggling to collect points. For example, a win in the next game would leave FC only three points behind HSV. Should Bremen also lose in Munich, the gap to Werder would be only four points. Before the direct duel against Hamburger SV on Saturday (20 January 2018) at 6.30 p.m. in the Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, however, that would be a bit many if and when they could. As is well known, the truth is on the pitch and that’s exactly where Hamburg and also Cologne must now show that they will still belong to the “high society” of German football next year.

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Hamburg vs. Cologne in quick succession

  • Pairing: Hamburger SV- 1st FC Köln
  • Competition: Bundesliga Season 2017/18
  • Round: 19. Matchday
  • Kick-off: Saturday, 20 January 2018 at 18.30 hours
  • Location: Volksparkstadion in Hamburg
  • HSV: 17th place, 15 points, 15:26 goals
  • Cologne: 18th place, 15 points, 15:26 goals
  • Cologne Place, 9 points, 12:33 goals

number games

  • Depressing: Since 5 league games HSV is without victory
  • back: Only one of the last 4 home games Hamburg has lost
  • Trend: FC could win 2 of the last 3 league games
  • Harmless: Cologne scored only 12 seasonal goals
  • Triple: 3 times in a row Hamburg decided this duel for itself

form curve of the teams

Hamburg is once again about to declare a state of emergency. In the Hanseatic city, the last weeks in the league have been alarming and it is already clear that it will once again be very tight for the HSV. The Hamburg team is currently in 17th place and has only managed to score 15 points. After 18 matchdays, that is enormously little – too little. After they had already gone into the winter break with four games without a win in a row, they also went on unsuccessfully in 2018 with a 1-0 win in Augsburg. Thus, the lead over Cologne is currently only six points – and with a defeat, it should be really uncomfortable in the Volkspark.

To the 1st FC Cologne has already been said a lot this season. Of course, the Cologne team has sold itself underground so far, and with nine points, it has not been completely undeservedly awarded the “red lantern”. However, an upward trend can be seen in the last few games, which should give the billy goats courage once again. Shortly before the winter break, for example, the first victory of the season was achieved with a 1-0 win over Wolfsburg. Afterwards, Schalke lost 0-1, but the FC sold out decently. In addition to this, on the last matchday at home in the derby against Gladbach, Cologne seems to accept the fight for the preservation of the class.

Estimation: The trend in Hamburg does not look good, because HSV has been in the league without a win for five games. Cologne has only won twice at all, but that in two of the last three league games.

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Statistical and direct comparison

In view of the enormous tradition of both clubs and this duel, it is actually a tragedy that has to be played at all within this framework. There have already been 104 duels between Hamburg and Cologne, of which HSV 41 won. The Cologne team is lagging a little behind and currently stands at 36 successes. 27 other duels ended in a draw. Curious: Despite fewer victories, the Cologne team has scored exactly two goals more than HSV and scored 163 goals in the 104 matches. But all that is of no use if no victories are scored – and that was the case three times in a row last time. The Hamburg team won each of the last three duels, each with two goals ahead. A draw has not seen this duel for four games. The last success of the Cologne team was again in 2016 when they scored 3-0 at home. Good for Hamburg: Three years ago, they suffered their last bankruptcy against FC at home, and at the same time only one of three defeats in HSV’s last 14 home games.

Assessment: There is little to be gained for Cologne in Hamburg, although HSV have an overall advantage on the balance sheet. But: The Cologne team is offensively stronger in this duel.

Recommended bets and odds

Even though this game will offer a lot of excitement above all, we must not expect a footballing treat. Here it is all about existence, so that we can confidently do without “cabinet pieces”. Both teams are not really effective in the offensive anyway and belong to the worst offensive teams in the league. Hamburg could only score 15 goals, Cologne even has the worst offensive line of the whole league with twelve goals. Accordingly, as a conservative tip with low risk, we recommend Under 3.5, for which Betway provides the best betting odds with a 1.29. At the same time, as a strategic way with medium risk, we advise you to bet on Under 2.5, for which Betvictor offers the best betting odds with a 1.73. Although the form speaks easily for FC, there are several aspects for a success of HSV. Cologne has not yet won a single game away from home, but is especially strong at home. Hamburg, on the other hand, have only lost one of their last four home games and have already netted in three of these four games in the first 45 minutes. Speculatively, i.e. with increased risk, we therefore recommend a bet on HZ/ES 1/1, for which Mybet offers the best betting odds with a 3.60.

estimate: Fear of relegation rules on both sides. Offensive, Hamburg and Cologne also have very little to offer, so that we go for the under 2.5 and the odds of 1.73.

betting recommendations from the editorial staff

You want to place a bet on this game with low, medium or high risk? Then we have three suitable sports bets, the selection of which is also explained below.